Clouds in the Forecast for 2013

Posted by Mark Teter, Chief Technology Officer
March 11, 2013

According to Gartner, the global public cloud computing solutions market will grow 18.5% this year to $131 billion. This is up from $111 billion in 2012. While most of this growth is expected to be in cloud advertising (48%) a good chunk will be in use-case driven deployments. Network World breaks it down:

  • Cloud advertising: 48%;
  • Business process as a service (BPaaS): 28%;
  • Software as a Service (SaaS): 14.7%;
  • Cloud systems infrastructure (IaaS): 5.5% (and fastest growing);
  • Management, security and automation: 2.8%;
  • Application development/Platform as a Service (PaaS): 1%

So while public cloud computing solutions are enjoying strong growth, private cloud growth might be, well, cloudy. According to Forrester Research, and as highlighted by Network World, “70 percent of what IT administrators claim are private clouds are not.”

If you call a highly virtualized environment a cloud, but it doesn't have one or more of the key characteristics of a private cloud, then the IT department is setting an unrealistic expectation for users. If users are disappointed when they find out the environment doesn't have self-provisioning, or an elastic resources pool, they can get discouraged. The next time they need a VM on the fly, where will they turn? The pseudo-private cloud IT has set up, or Amazon Web Services, which IT could have no control over.

The National Institutes for Standards in Technology has five characteristics that ‘official’ cloud computing solutions must have:

  1. On-demand, self-service for users
  2. Broad network access
  3. Shared resource pool
  4. Ability to elastically scale resources
  5. Having measured service

Without these 5 traits, you may have something similar to a cloud, maybe a virtualized infrastructure with clout, but not a cloud.

So it looks like 2013 calls for an increasingly cloudy forecast. If you’re considering cloud computing in 2013, be sure to check out our Cloud Computing Resources blog post for some helpful information to make your 2013 confusion-free.

About Mark Teter Before he retired from ASG in 2013, Mark Teter was Chief Technology Officer (CTO) and the author of 'Paradigm Shift: Seven Keys of Highly successful Linux and Open Source Adoptions.' As CTO, Mark regularly advised IT organizations, vendors, and government agencies, and he frequently conducted seminars and training programs.

Filed Under: Cloud Computing

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